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Some good news about when COVID-19 will end

According to the world's largest vaccination database established by Bloomberg, according to the latest vaccination rate, it will take 4.8 years to cover 75% of the global population. According to officials such as fudge, the chief infectious disease expert in the United States, "in order to return to normal life, vaccination must cover 70% to 85% of the population."


In other words, at the current rate, it will take another 4.8 years for life to return to normal.
However, many countries are trying their best to promote vaccination and give some positive predictions. As a foreign trade person, I think the future is worth looking forward to.
In terms of vaccination numbers, the United States ranks first, China second, and the European Union third, according to the data from Bloomberg.


Israel ranked first with 78.06 per 100 people in the world; Seychelles, the first African country to carry out large-scale new crown vaccination, ranked second in the world; UAE ranked third.

Therefore, Israel is most likely to take the lead in mass immunization. Why are they so fast?


The first thing to consider is that Israel has a population of 9 million, and they use the vaccine jointly developed by Pfizer and German biotechnology. At present, the supply exceeds the demand. Any Israeli over the age of 16 can be vaccinated at any time.


Where are so many? First of all, enough money. Officials revealed that the price of Pfizer vaccine purchased by Israel is $30 per dose, and Israeli media reported that it is $47 per dose. However, Belgian budget Secretary burick accidentally released the price of vaccines purchased by EU companies on twitter. Pfizer vaccine costs 12 euros (about 14 US dollars) a dose.

In addition, the Israeli government is committed to taking responsibility for possible vaccine problems. The EU requires Pfizer to take full responsibility. The Israeli government has also reached an agreement with Pfizer to provide Pfizer with weekly data obtained during vaccination.

In return, biotechnology and Pfizer promised to provide Israel with enough vaccines until the country achieves 95% of its population immunity.

Moreover, Israel recently announced that it has developed a specific drug to deal with the new coronavirus - exo-cd24.

Its principle is to eliminate the fatal "cytokine storm" caused by new coronavirus, which is suitable for moderate to severe patients with new coronavirus. In the ichilov hospital in Tel Aviv, exo-cd24 carried out the first phase of clinical trials. After 3 to 5 days of treatment, 29 of the 30 patients with moderate to severe new crowns were cured, with a cure rate of 95%. The rest of the patients took a little longer to recover, with a cure rate of 100%. At present, the drug will be in the second phase of clinical trials.

Another rich country, the United Arab Emirates, also used Pfizer vaccine before. After the shortage of vaccine, it began to use Chinese vaccine at the end of January. Moreover, the Dubai government of the United Arab Emirates has announced the establishment of a vaccine logistics alliance, which will integrate the global port and logistics network of Emirates Airlines, Dubai global port group, Dubai airport, etc., focus on helping those areas where vaccine import and distribution are the most difficult, ensure that people in areas with serious epidemic situation can get vaccine distribution as soon as possible, and assist the World Health Organization to achieve global distribution by the end of 2021 Two billion fewer doses of the new vaccine.

In the UK, where the epidemic situation is serious and vaccines are scarce, there is already a "vaccination tour in China" service for the rich. As long as you join a club member or provide 10000 pounds (1 pound is about 8.8 yuan), as well as bear the cost of air tickets to the United Arab Emirates and accommodation in the United Arab Emirates for three weeks, and become a "temporary member", you can be vaccinated in the United Arab Emirates by Sinopharm group The new inactivated vaccine was developed.

After the launch of this service, the club has received more than 2000 applications for membership, and several private aircraft companies have come to the club to seek cooperation and undertake the business of picking up and sending its customers.

The United States, the world's most serious epidemic, has also shown signs of easing recently. According to CDC data, as of February 15, the average number of new confirmed cases in the United States in the past seven days was about 86000, the lowest since the end of October 2020. New York governor Cuomo said on February 17 that the seven day average positive rate of new crown test in the whole state has declined for 40 consecutive days. In view of the gradual improvement of the epidemic situation, indoor family entertainment places and outdoor amusement parks will be limited to resume business.

"According to current trends, the worst seems to be over," said rivers, an epidemiologist at Johns Hopkins University's School of public health

U.S. President Biden said that through vaccination, the ability of (new crown) to continue to spread will be significantly weakened under the influence of mass immunity. "If it really works like that," Biden said, "before next Christmas, I think our situation will be completely different from today." Fudge, the chief infectious disease expert in the United States, also agreed with Biden's estimation that "by the end of this year and before Christmas", the situation will begin to return to normal.

At present, China's high-risk areas of epidemic situation have been cleared, and there are only three medium risk areas. The current round of epidemic situation in China has been effectively controlled within 30 days, thanks to the efforts of those who responded to the call to "celebrate the Chinese new year on the spot".

Whether the epidemic can end or not depends on the result of the last one. I hope all parts of the world can return to normal soon.

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